Matrix Four: Further analysis adds Cohort Born Before
Baby Boom:
(Fifth
Ed.)
Assume: (8) actual data for yearly births: 1932-1964:
Cohort Born During Baby
Boom: 1946-1964 Cohort
Born Before Baby Boom: 1932-1945
----------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------- Sum
($B):
Count/yr Age
Retired Benefits/yr Total Benefits Year Age
Retired Benefits/yr Total
Benefits 2007-2021
--------- -----
---------- ----------- --------------- ----
----- ---------- -----------
--------------- ---------
2007 62-75 33,526,630 x $12K/year = 402,319,560,000 402.3
3,288,672 62-62 3,288,672 x $12K/year = 39,464,064,000 2008
63-75 31,452,588 x $12K/year =
377,431,056,000 416.8
3,699,940 62-63 6,988,612 x $12K/year = 83,863,344,000 2009
64-75 29,371,356 x $12K/year =
352,456,272,000 436.3
3,535,068 62-64 10,523,680 x $12K/year = 126,284,160,000 2010
65-75 27,203,720 x $12K/year =
326,444,640,000 452.7
3,559,529 62-65 14,083,209 x $12K/year = 168,998,508,000 2011
66-75 25,048,615 x $12K/year =
300,583,380,000 469.5
3,554,149 62-66 17,637,358 x $12K/year = 211,648,296,000 2012
67-75 22,903,825 x $12K/year =
274,845,900,000 486.4
3,750,850 62-67 21,388,208 x $12K/year = 256,658,496,000 2013
68-75 20,700,488 x $12K/year =
248,405,856,000 505.0
3,846,986 62-68 25,235,194 x $12K/year = 302,822,328,000 2014
69-75 18,413,526 x $12K/year =
220,962,312,000 523.7
3,902,120 62-69 29,137,314 x $12K/year = 349,647,768,000 2015
70-75 16,147,938 x $12K/year =
193,775,256,000 543.4
4,017,362 62-70 33,154,676 x $12K/year = 397,856,112,000 2016
71-75 13,787,539 x $12K/year =
165,450,468,000 563.3
4,047,295 62-71 37,201,971 x $12K/year = 446,423,652,000 2017
72-75 11,274,112 x $12K/year =
135,289,344,000 581.7
4,163,090 62-72 41,365,061 x $12K/year = 496,380,732,000 2018
73-75 8,465,116 x $12K/year =
101,581,392,000 597.9
4,254,784 62-73 45,619,845 x $12K/year = 547,438,140,000 2019
74-75 5,530,256 x $12K/year = 66,363,072,000 613.8
4,203,812 62-74 49,823,657 x $12K/year = 597,883,884,000 2020
75-75 2,735,456 x $12K/year
= 32,825,472,000 630.7
4,244,796 62-75 54,068,453 x $12K/year = 648,821,436,000 2021
--------------- 648.8
--------------- $3,198,733,980,000
Subtotal: $4,674,190,920,000 ==================
4,257,850 63-75 58,326,303 Live Births:
(
3,288,672)
1932-1945 1946-1964
55,037,631 x $12K/year = 660,451,572,000 2022 Year Total Year Total
4,268,326 64-75 62,594,629
---- --------- ----
---------
(
6,988,612) 1932
2,074,042 1946 3,288,672
55,606,017 x $12K/year = 667,272,204,000 2023 1933 2,081,232 1947
3,699,940
4,167,362 65-75 66,761,991
1934 2,167,636 1948
3,535,068
(10,523,680)
1935 2,155,105 1949
3,559,529
56,238,311 x $12K/year = 674,859,732,000 2024 1936 2,144,790 1950
3,554,149
4,098,020 66-75 70,860,011
1937 2,203,337 1951
3,750,850
(14,083,209)
1938 2,286,962 1952
3,846,986
56,776,802 x $12K/year = 681,321,624,000 2025 1939 2,265,588 1953
3,902,120
4,027,490 67-75 74,887,501
1940 2,360,399 1954
4,017,362
(17,637,358)
1941 2,513,427 1955
4,047,295
57,250,143 x $12K/year = 687,001,716,000 2026 1942 2,808,996 1956
4,163,090
---------------
1943 2,934,860 1957
4,254,784
$8,045,097,768,000 1944 2,794,800 1958
4,203,812
================== 1945 2,735,456 1959
4,244,796
Summary:
1960 4,257,850
Average annual retired Baby
Boomers: 74,887,501 ÷ 19 years =
3,941,447 1961
4,268,326
Cumulative cost of Baby Boom
benefits (19 years): $8,045.0 Trillion 1962
4,167,362
Annual cost of Baby Boom
benefits (2021-2026): $648.8 – 687.0
Billion 1963 4,098,020
1964 4,027,490