Time: Thu Oct 09 14:16:48 1997
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Date: Thu, 09 Oct 1997 14:12:11 -0700
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From: Paul Andrew Mitchell [address in tool bar]
Subject: SLS: 1998: Countdown to Armegeddon
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<snip>
>
>VERY good article..
>--
>Thursday, October 9, 1997, WorldNet Daily
>
>1998: Countdown to Armageddon?
>
>One of the world’s top intelligence analysts says he expects Russia to
>invade the Middle East as early as the second half of next year.
>
>Joseph de Courcy, editor of Britain’s highly regarded Intelligence
>Digest, has long predicted such an invasion -- but not for several more
>years. De Courcy cites a number of recent
>developments that, he believes, indicate that timetable has been speeded
>up.
>
>The main reason the Arabs and Iranians have delayed a war, says de
>Courcy, is because the “peace process” has promised them vital real
>estate concessions that would make military victory more likely.
>However, it is becoming increasingly clear to Damascus and Tehran that
>there is no longer any political mandate in Israel for more territorial
>concessions.
>
>Another reason for waiting has been the desire by the Tehran-Damascus
>axis to neutralize Israel’s nuclear deterrent. Even without the
>acquisition of a deliverable nuclear bomb, Syria may have developed
>sufficient Scud C missile capability as to rule out an Israeli nuclear
>option, de Courcy explains.
>
>But what about Russia? This is where de Courcy’s observations get most
>interesting -- and alarming.
>
>Israel’s military pact with Turkey, signed just last year, was believed
>by many to preclude the possibility of another Syrian attack. But there
>are two ways this important treaty between Ankara and Jerusalem can be
>undermined.
>
>Turkey faces a continuing threat from Islamic fundamentalism. De Courcy
>says, even now, the Turkish army is preparing for an Algerian-style
>Islamic uprising. Secondly, Turkey can be neutralized by its neighbor
>Russia.
>
>“There is now the distinct possibility (openly aired by Turkey’s former
>prime minister Tansu Ciller) that Turkey could find itself at war with
>Russia, over the supply of Russian S-300
>missiles to Cyprus, by the end of 1998,” de Courcy writes.
>
>Turkey says delivery of the missiles would mean war. Russia says it
>intends to deliver the weapons by the end of 1998. Ciller says, point
>blank, if there is no change in policy, “Turkey is going to war with
>Russia.”
>
>Why would Russia risk war with Turkey over a seemingly trivial strategic
>issue? De Courcy reminds us that this may be Russia’s last chance to do
>what so many nationalists in that
>country truly want -- to re-establish itself as a superpower by
>providing the Islamic world with the means to defeat Israel and conquer
>Jerusalem.
>
>De Courcy suggests recent reports by Gen. Alexander Lebed and others
>about suitcase-sized nuclear bombs on the loose play a role in this
>plot. It is this weapons -- real or not -- that will neutralize America
>in this giant endgame strategy, he says.
>
>“Whether or not any of these suitcase nuclear bombs have actually gone
>missing is now almost irrelevant,” he writes. “After Lebed’s statement,
>what American president is going to
>call the bluff of a terrorist group that says it has one (or more) of
>these bombs (described by Lebed as ‘ideal for nuclear terror’) which it
>is going to explode in an American city (or
>cities) in the event that the United States moves to protect Israel
>against an Arab/Iranian assault?”
>
>And here de Courcy is missing one other important element. The United
>States is not prepared to fight in such a war. Its military
>infrastructure has been completed gutted by the Clinton administration.
>Now, at a time when the U.S. is incapable of mobilizing the kind of
>force it deployed in the Persian Gulf War, Clinton is asking for even
>more cuts in defense
>appropriations.
>
>Add this to the mix. Suppose De Courcy’s scenario is even half right and
>there’s conflict in the Middle East next year or the year after.
>Wouldn’t that be the ideal time for North Korea to launch its
>long-anticipated invasion of the south? There’s no
>way the U.S. would be prepared to fight on two fronts.
>
>De Courcy is by no means stating categorically that a Middle East war
>next year is inevitable. But he is issuing an unusually strong warning.
>
>“The next 18 months in the Middle East will be fraught with danger, and
>it will take statecraft of the highest possible order on the part of the
>United States if a catastrophic war in the Middle East involving
>chemical, biological and nuclear weapons is to be avoided,” he writes in
>his bulletin.
>
>Aren’t you glad we’ve got Bill Clinton in the White House?
>
>Joseph Farah is editor of the Internet newspaper WorldNetDaily.com and
>Executive Director of the Western Journalism Center, an independent
>group of investigative reporters.
>
>©1997, Western Journalism Center
>
<snip>

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